First League
March 22, 2026
Spartak Kostroma
13:00
VS
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played24
Points37
PPG1.54
Goal Diff6
D
D
D
L
D
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10#Rank
24Played
30Points
1.25PPG
-1Goal Diff
D
W
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.86
1-1
12.7%
7.9
0-0
9.0%
11.1
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.1
NO
52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma
46% · 2.18
Draw
34% · 2.93
Shinnik Yaroslavl
20% · 5.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.26
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.5
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Spartak Kostroma
D
D
D
L
D
Shinnik Yaroslavl
D
W
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Spartak Kostroma
Stat
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#10
37 pts
Points
30 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.25
+6
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
Spartak Kostroma
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fakel
|
24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | +18 | 52 |
| 2 |
Ural
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 45 |
| 3 |
Rodina Moskva
|
24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 4 |
Spartak Kostroma
H
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 5 |
Chelyabinsk
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +8 | 37 |
| 6 |
Rotor Volgograd
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 36 |
| 7 |
KAMAZ
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +11 | 34 |
| 8 |
Ska-khabarovsk
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 |
FK Neftekhimik
|
23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | +0 | 31 |
| 10 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
A
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 |
Arsenal Tula
|
24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | +1 | 29 |
| 12 |
Enisey
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 |
Chernomorets
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 |
FC UFA
|
24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 23 |
| 17 |
Chayka
|
24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -27 | 16 |
| 18 |
FK Sokol Saratov
|
24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.