First League
22/03/2026 • 13:00
Not started
Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)
O. Gusakov
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played24
Points37
PPG1.54
Goal Diff6
D
D
D
L
D
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10#Rank
24Played
30Points
1.25PPG
-1Goal Diff
D
W
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.86
1-1
12.7%
7.9
0-0
9.0%
11.1
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.1
NO
52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma
46% · 2.18
Draw
34% · 2.93
Shinnik Yaroslavl
20% · 5.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.26
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.5
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.