National League - North National League - North February 7, 2026
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

23
FT
Chorley

Chorley

We predicted

0-0 62% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 62%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played30
Points56
PPG1.87
Goal Diff14
L L L W W
Chorley
15#Rank
28Played
35Points
1.25PPG
3Goal Diff
D L L D W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Merthyr Town 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Chorley 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
L L L W W
Chorley Chorley
D L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Merthyr Town
Stat
Chorley
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#3
League Pos.
#15
56 pts
Points
35 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.25
+14
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Merthyr Town
Draw
Chorley
7 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record