National League - North
07/02/2026 • 15:00
Finished
Penydarren Park (Merthyr Tydfil)
Home scorers
- 11' K. Rai
- 25' T. Handley
Away scorers
- 32' W. Clarke
- 38' A. Popoola
- 90' T. Carr
Match Timeline
5 events
Key Moments
-
11'Merthyr TownGoalK. Rai
-
25'Merthyr TownGoalT. Handley
-
32'ChorleyGoalW. Clarke
-
38'ChorleyGoalA. Popoola
-
90'ChorleyGoalT. Carr
11'
Merthyr Town
Goal
by K. Rai
25'
Merthyr Town
Goal
by T. Handley
32'
Chorley
Goal
by W. Clarke
38'
Chorley
Goal
by A. Popoola
90'
Chorley
Goal
by T. Carr
Head to Head Record
1
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
1
Chorley wins
2 matches
7 total goals
Recent H2H Form
Merthyr Town
L
W
Chorley
W
L
Recent H2H Meetings
⚽
Competition Stage
North - 31
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played30
Points56
PPG1.87
Goal Diff14
L
L
L
W
W
Chorley
15#Rank
28Played
35Points
1.25PPG
3Goal Diff
D
L
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Merthyr Town
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Chorley
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.