Primeira Liga
February 7, 2026
Estoril
2–2
FT
Tondela
We predicted
1-1
27% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Estoril
Rank#7
Played20
Points29
PPG1.45
Goal Diff8
W
W
W
L
W
Tondela
17#Rank
20Played
13Points
0.65PPG
-21Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.11
1-2
8.8%
11.31
2-1
7.9%
12.59
0-1
7.6%
13.18
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.64
NO
39% · 2.57
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Estoril
34% · 2.9
Draw
24% · 4.16
Tondela
42% · 2.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7
Under 41% · 2.43
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24
Under 19% · 5.23
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.75
Under 64% · 1.57
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estoril
W
W
W
L
W
Tondela
D
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Estoril
Stat
Tondela
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.61
#7
League Pos.
#17
29 pts
Points
13 pts
1.45
Points / Game
0.65
+8
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Estoril
Draw
Tondela
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
H
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
A
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.