Primeira Liga
01/02/2026 • 18:00
Finished
Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)
R. Baixinho
Home scorers
- 72' P. Goncalves
- 90' L. Suarez (Alisson Santos)
Away scorers
- 76' A. Nunez
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played19
Points48
PPG2.53
Goal Diff42
W
W
D
W
W
Nacional
11#Rank
19Played
20Points
1.05PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
8.62
1-0
10.8%
9.28
2-1
9.8%
10.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.98
NO
49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sporting CP
67% · 1.49
Draw
19% · 5.19
Nacional
14% · 7.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74
Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.87
Under 65% · 1.54
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.