Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 1, 2026
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

21
FT
Nacional

Nacional

We predicted

Sporting CP 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sporting CP 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played19
Points48
PPG2.53
Goal Diff42
W W D W W
Nacional
11#Rank
19Played
20Points
1.05PPG
-2Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
8.62
1-0
10.8%
9.28
2-1
9.8%
10.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.98
NO 49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sporting CP 67% · 1.49
Draw 19% · 5.19
Nacional 14% · 7.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74 Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.87 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sporting CP Sporting CP
W W D W W
Nacional Nacional
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Sporting CP
Stat
Nacional
2.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#2
League Pos.
#11
48 pts
Points
20 pts
2.53
Points / Game
1.05
+42
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
26 22 3 1 +42 69
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP H
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Estoril Estoril
26 10 7 9 +5 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
26 10 5 11 -7 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
26 6 9 11 -19 27
12
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
26 6 7 13 -8 25
14
Estrela Estrela
26 5 10 11 -16 25
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
16
Nacional Nacional A
26 5 7 14 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
26 1 7 18 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record