First League
14/03/2026 • 15:30
Finished
Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)
A. Sagdiev
Home scorers
- 56' A. Kalmykov
Away scorers
- 23' A. Filev
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff6
D
D
L
D
L
Chayka
18#Rank
23Played
15Points
0.65PPG
-27Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Spartak Kostroma 4+
17.3%
2-1
9.9%
10.11
2-0
9.0%
11.15
1-1
9.0%
11.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.68
NO
41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma
62% · 1.61
Draw
20% · 5.05
Chayka
18% · 5.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.3
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4
Under 58% · 1.72
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.