First League First League March 14, 2026
Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Kostroma

11
FT
Chayka

Chayka

We predicted

Spartak Kostroma 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Spartak Kostroma 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Spartak Kostroma
Rank#4
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff6
D D L D L
Chayka
18#Rank
23Played
15Points
0.65PPG
-27Goal Diff
W L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Spartak Kostroma 4+
17.3%
2-1
9.9%
10.11
2-0
9.0%
11.15
1-1
9.0%
11.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.68
NO 41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Spartak Kostroma 62% · 1.61
Draw 20% · 5.05
Chayka 18% · 5.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.3
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4 Under 58% · 1.72

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
D D L D L
Chayka Chayka
W L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Spartak Kostroma
Stat
Chayka
2.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#4
League Pos.
#18
36 pts
Points
15 pts
1.57
Points / Game
0.65
+6
Goal Diff.
-27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel
23 16 4 3 +19 52
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
24 11 10 3 +15 43
3
Ural Ural
23 12 6 5 +11 42
4
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma H
24 9 10 5 +6 37
5
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
23 9 9 5 +8 36
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
24 8 10 6 +11 34
7
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
24 8 9 7 +7 33
8
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
24 8 9 7 -1 33
9
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
22 7 10 5 +3 31
10
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
23 7 8 8 -1 29
11
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
23 6 11 6 +3 29
12
Chernomorets Chernomorets
24 7 7 10 -1 28
13
Enisey Enisey
23 6 9 8 -10 27
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
23 7 5 11 -9 26
15
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
23 6 6 11 -12 24
16
FC UFA FC UFA
23 4 8 11 -8 20
17
Chayka Chayka A
24 3 7 14 -27 16
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
23 2 10 11 -14 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record