USL Championship
05/04/2026 • 02:00
Finished
Heart Health Park
M. Hassan
Home scorers
- 10' B. Willey (F. Ajago)
- 24' D. Wanner (M. Benitez)
Away scorers
No goals yet.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Sacramento Republic
Rank#2
Played30
Points48
PPG1.6
Goal Diff17
L
L
W
D
L
Phoenix Rising
6#Rank
30Played
40Points
1.33PPG
0Goal Diff
L
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.22
1-1
11.8%
8.46
2-0
9.8%
10.17
2-1
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sacramento Republic
49% · 2.02
Draw
33% · 3.04
Phoenix Rising
18% · 5.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.7
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.84
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.