USL Championship USL Championship April 5, 2026
Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic

20
FT
Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Sacramento Republic
Rank#2
Played30
Points48
PPG1.6
Goal Diff17
L L W D L
Phoenix Rising
6#Rank
30Played
40Points
1.33PPG
0Goal Diff
L W D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.22
1-1
11.8%
8.46
2-0
9.8%
10.17
2-1
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sacramento Republic 49% · 2.02
Draw 33% · 3.04
Phoenix Rising 18% · 5.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.7
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.84 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic
L L W D L
Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising
L W D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Sacramento Republic
Stat
Phoenix Rising
1.62
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#2
League Pos.
#6
48 pts
Points
40 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.33
+17
Goal Diff.
+0

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record