Primeira Liga
16/02/2026 • 20:15
Finished
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube (Vila do Conde)
R. Baixinho
Home scorers
- 42' J. Blesa (A. Ntoi)
Away scorers
- 17' Rodri (Kiko Bondoso)
- 57' M. Stjepanovic (Travassos)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Rio Ave
Rank#15
Played21
Points20
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-19
L
L
L
L
W
Moreirense
9#Rank
21Played
30Points
1.43PPG
-2Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.62
1-2
9.2%
10.87
0-1
9.1%
10.94
2-1
7.4%
13.59
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.33
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rio Ave
31% · 3.27
Draw
25% · 4.05
Moreirense
45% · 2.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84
Under 46% · 2.19
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29
Under 22% · 4.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.