La Liga
01/02/2026 • 13:00
Finished
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
I. Diaz
Home scorers
- 15' Vinicius Junior (B. Diaz)
- 90' K. Mbappe
Away scorers
- 49' J. de Frutos (A. Garcia)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
31%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#2
Played21
Points51
PPG2.43
Goal Diff28
W
W
W
W
W
Rayo Vallecano
16#Rank
21Played
22Points
1.05PPG
-11Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
9.57
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.78
NO
44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid
56% · 1.77
Draw
22% · 4.49
Rayo Vallecano
21% · 4.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75
Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.93
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89
Under 65% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.