La Liga La Liga February 1, 2026
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

21
FT
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

We predicted

Real Madrid 4+ 31% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Real Madrid 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#2
Played21
Points51
PPG2.43
Goal Diff28
W W W W W
Rayo Vallecano
16#Rank
21Played
22Points
1.05PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L W D L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
9.57
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid 56% · 1.77
Draw 22% · 4.49
Rayo Vallecano 21% · 4.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Madrid Real Madrid
W W W W W
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
L L W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Real Madrid
Stat
Rayo Vallecano
1.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#2
League Pos.
#16
51 pts
Points
22 pts
2.43
Points / Game
1.05
+28
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
3 D
0 W
Real Madrid
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
28 23 1 4 +49 70
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid H
28 21 3 4 +36 66
3
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
28 17 6 5 +22 57
4
Villarreal Villarreal
28 17 4 7 +18 55
5
Real Betis Real Betis
28 11 11 6 +8 44
6
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
28 10 11 7 +7 41
7
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
28 10 8 10 +1 38
8
Espanyol Espanyol
28 10 7 11 -7 37
9
Getafe Getafe
28 10 5 13 -7 35
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
28 10 5 13 -10 35
11
Osasuna Osasuna
28 9 7 12 -2 34
12
Girona Girona
28 8 10 10 -12 34
13
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano A
28 7 11 10 -6 32
14
Valencia Valencia
28 8 8 12 -12 32
15
Sevilla Sevilla
28 8 7 13 -10 31
16
Mallorca Mallorca
28 7 7 14 -12 28
17
Alaves Alaves
28 7 7 14 -12 28
18
Elche Elche
28 5 11 12 -9 26
19
Levante Levante
28 5 8 15 -16 23
20
Oviedo Oviedo
28 4 9 15 -26 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record