Championship
16/03/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Fratton Park (Portsmouth)
Anthony Backhouse, England
Home scorers
No goals yet.
Away scorers
- 8' S. Szmodics
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Portsmouth
Rank#19
Played35
Points40
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-10
D
L
L
W
W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.35
1-1
13.4%
7.49
0-0
11.6%
8.59
0-1
11.4%
8.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.32
NO
57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Portsmouth
28% · 3.57
Draw
36% · 2.81
Derby
36% · 2.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.75
Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.85
Under 83% · 1.21
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.