Championship Championship March 16, 2026
Portsmouth

Portsmouth

01
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Portsmouth
Rank#19
Played35
Points40
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-10
D L L W W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.35
1-1
13.4%
7.49
0-0
11.6%
8.59
0-1
11.4%
8.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.32
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Portsmouth 28% · 3.57
Draw 36% · 2.81
Derby 36% · 2.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.75 Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58 Under 37% · 2.73
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.85 Under 83% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Portsmouth Portsmouth
D L L W W
Derby Derby
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Portsmouth
Stat
Derby
1.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#19
League Pos.
#7
40 pts
Points
54 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.5
-10
Goal Diff.
+7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
3 D
2 W
Portsmouth
Draw
Derby
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
38 23 8 7 +38 77
2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
38 20 10 8 +22 70
3
Ipswich Ipswich
37 19 11 7 +28 68
4
Millwall Millwall
38 20 8 10 +9 68
5
Hull City Hull City
38 19 6 13 +3 63
6
Wrexham Wrexham
38 16 12 10 +8 60
7
Southampton Southampton
37 15 12 10 +12 57
8
Derby Derby A
38 16 9 13 +7 57
9
Watford Watford
38 14 13 11 +4 55
10
Birmingham Birmingham
38 14 11 13 +0 53
11
Swansea Swansea
38 15 7 16 -2 52
12
Norwich Norwich
37 15 6 16 +6 51
13
Stoke City Stoke City
38 14 9 15 +5 51
14
Bristol City Bristol City
38 14 9 15 +0 51
15
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
38 15 5 18 +1 50
16
QPR QPR
38 14 8 16 -11 50
17
Preston Preston
38 12 13 13 -6 49
18
Charlton Charlton
38 12 12 14 -9 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
38 11 9 18 -13 42
20
Portsmouth Portsmouth H
37 10 10 17 -12 40
21
West Brom West Brom
38 10 10 18 -15 40
22
Oxford United Oxford United
38 9 12 17 -13 39
23
Leicester Leicester
38 11 11 16 -9 38
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
38 1 9 28 -53 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record