Major League Soccer
01/03/2026 • 21:30
Finished
Subaru Park (Chester)
C. Penso
Home scorers
- 89' I. Vassilev
Away scorers
- 36' H. Wolf
- 90' T. Gray
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Philadelphia Union
Rank#1
Played34
Points66
PPG1.94
Goal Diff22
L
W
W
W
L
New York City FC
5#Rank
34Played
56Points
1.65PPG
6Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.94
1-1
12.0%
8.31
2-0
11.0%
9.1
0-0
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Philadelphia Union
54% · 1.87
Draw
26% · 3.86
New York City FC
21% · 4.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38
Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.71
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.