Major League Soccer Major League Soccer March 1, 2026
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

12
FT
New York City FC

New York City FC

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Philadelphia Union
Rank#1
Played34
Points66
PPG1.94
Goal Diff22
L W W W L
New York City FC
5#Rank
34Played
56Points
1.65PPG
6Goal Diff
L L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.94
1-1
12.0%
8.31
2-0
11.0%
9.1
0-0
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Philadelphia Union 54% · 1.87
Draw 26% · 3.86
New York City FC 21% · 4.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.71 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
L W W W L
New York City FC New York City FC
L L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Philadelphia Union
Stat
New York City FC
1.53
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#1
League Pos.
#5
66 pts
Points
56 pts
1.94
Points / Game
1.65
+22
Goal Diff.
+6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record