Primera División - Apertura
21/03/2026 • 22:30
Finished
3 - 1
Elapsed · 90'
HT 2 – 1
Estadio Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)
Andres Matonte, Uruguay
Home scorers
  • 18' M. Arezo
  • 26' L. Angulo
  • 90' N. Fernandez
Away scorers
  • 45' C. Barros

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Penarol
Rank#1
Played7
Points16
PPG2.29
Goal Diff10
W W W L W
Cerro
6#Rank
7Played
8Points
1.14PPG
-2Goal Diff
L L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.2%
4.71
0-0
15.1%
6.62
2-0
14.9%
6.71
1-1
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 29% · 3.44
NO 71% · 1.41
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Penarol 56% · 1.79
Draw 36% · 2.75
Cerro 8% · 13.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.41 Under 71% · 1.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.12 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.