ScoresFooty
Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura March 21, 2026
Penarol

Penarol

3–1
FT
Cerro

Cerro

We predicted

1-0 44% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Penarol
Rank#1
Played7
Points16
PPG2.29
Goal Diff10
W W W L W
Cerro
6#Rank
7Played
8Points
1.14PPG
-2Goal Diff
L L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.2%
4.71
0-0
15.1%
6.62
2-0
14.9%
6.71
1-1
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 29% · 3.44
NO 71% · 1.41
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Penarol 56% · 1.79
Draw 36% · 2.75
Cerro 8% · 13.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.41 Under 71% · 1.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.12 Under 88% · 1.14
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Penarol Penarol
W W W L W
Cerro Cerro
L L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Penarol
Stat
Cerro
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.49
#1
League Pos.
#6
16 pts
Points
8 pts
2.29
Points / Game
1.14
+10
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Penarol
Draw
Cerro
17 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Primera División - Apertura Yesterday
Primera División - Clausura 25 Oct 2025
Primera División - Apertura 28 Jun 2025

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record