Premier League
04/03/2026 • 20:15
Finished
St. James' Park (Newcastle)
P. Bankes
Home scorers
- 45' A. Gordon
- 90' W. Osula (K. Trippier)
Away scorers
- 45' Casemiro (B. Fernandes)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Newcastle
Rank#13
Played28
Points36
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-2
L
L
W
L
L
Manchester United
3#Rank
28Played
51Points
1.82PPG
12Goal Diff
W
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.31
0-1
8.8%
11.4
1-0
8.6%
11.63
1-2
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.78
NO
44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Newcastle
36% · 2.78
Draw
29% · 3.42
Manchester United
35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91
Under 48% · 2.1
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.23
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.33
Under 70% · 1.43
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.