Premier League Premier League March 4, 2026
Newcastle

Newcastle

21
FT
Manchester United

Manchester United

We predicted

1-1 28% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Newcastle
Rank#13
Played28
Points36
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-2
L L W L L
Manchester United
3#Rank
28Played
51Points
1.82PPG
12Goal Diff
W W D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.31
0-1
8.8%
11.4
1-0
8.6%
11.63
1-2
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Newcastle 36% · 2.78
Draw 29% · 3.42
Manchester United 35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91 Under 48% · 2.1
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.33 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Newcastle Newcastle
L L W L L
Manchester United Manchester United
W W D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Newcastle
Stat
Manchester United
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#13
League Pos.
#3
36 pts
Points
51 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.82
-2
Goal Diff.
+12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United A
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle H
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record