Primeira Liga
07/03/2026 • 15:30
Finished
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)
Marcio Torres, Portugal
Home scorers
- 45' L. Semedo (Travassos)
Away scorers
- 67' M. Baeza (A. Nunez)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#7
Played24
Points34
PPG1.42
Goal Diff-4
D
L
W
L
L
Nacional
14#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.6%
6.41
0-0
14.2%
7.02
1-1
13.3%
7.51
1-0
12.1%
8.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.62
NO
62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense
35% · 2.87
Draw
37% · 2.73
Nacional
29% · 3.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23
Under 69% · 1.45
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.38
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.48
Under 87% · 1.15
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.