Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 7, 2026
Moreirense

Moreirense

11
FT
Nacional

Nacional

We predicted

0-1 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#7
Played24
Points34
PPG1.42
Goal Diff-4
D L W L L
Nacional
14#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
L L L D L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.6%
6.41
0-0
14.2%
7.02
1-1
13.3%
7.51
1-0
12.1%
8.24
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.62
NO 62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense 35% · 2.87
Draw 37% · 2.73
Nacional 29% · 3.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23 Under 69% · 1.45
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.38
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.48 Under 87% · 1.15

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moreirense Moreirense
D L W L L
Nacional Nacional
L L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Moreirense
Stat
Nacional
0.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#7
League Pos.
#14
34 pts
Points
21 pts
1.42
Points / Game
0.88
-4
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
25 21 3 1 +39 66
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Moreirense Moreirense H
25 10 5 10 -4 35
8
Estoril Estoril
25 9 7 9 +4 34
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
12
Estrela Estrela
25 5 10 10 -15 25
13
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
14
Rio Ave Rio Ave
25 5 9 11 -20 24
15
Nacional Nacional A
25 5 7 13 -8 22
16
Santa Clara Santa Clara
25 5 7 13 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
25 1 7 17 -39 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record