Liga de Expansión MX
15/03/2026 • 01:00
Finished
Estadio Morelos (Morelia)
A. Barba
Home scorers
- 29' R. del Campo
- 87' D. Aguilar
- 90' A. Flores (A. Flores)
- 90' A. Flores
Away scorers
- 13' B. Mendoza (W. Guzman)
- 45' I. Dominguez
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Monarcas
Rank#7
Played14
Points19
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-2
D
W
L
W
D
Tepatitlán
8#Rank
14Played
18Points
1.29PPG
5Goal Diff
L
D
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.55
1-0
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.5%
10.52
2-0
8.4%
11.88
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.84
NO
46% · 2.19
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Monarcas
33% · 3.0
Draw
33% · 3.05
Tepatitlán
34% · 2.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93
Under 48% · 2.08
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.19
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.36
Under 70% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.