Liga de Expansión MX Liga de Expansión MX March 15, 2026
Monarcas

Monarcas

32
FT
Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Monarcas
Rank#7
Played14
Points19
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-2
D W L W D
Tepatitlán
8#Rank
14Played
18Points
1.29PPG
5Goal Diff
L D L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.55
1-0
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.5%
10.52
2-0
8.4%
11.88
Both Teams To Score
YES 54% · 1.84
NO 46% · 2.19
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Monarcas 33% · 3.0
Draw 33% · 3.05
Tepatitlán 34% · 2.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93 Under 48% · 2.08
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.19
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.36 Under 70% · 1.42

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Monarcas Monarcas
D W L W D
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
L D L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Monarcas
Stat
Tepatitlán
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#7
League Pos.
#8
19 pts
Points
18 pts
1.36
Points / Game
1.29
-2
Goal Diff.
+5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Monarcas
Draw
Tepatitlán
20 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlante FC Atlante FC
14 9 3 2 +25 30
2
Cancún Cancún
14 9 3 2 +18 30
3
CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero
14 8 6 0 +9 30
4
Irapuato Irapuato
14 6 5 3 +4 23
5
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
14 5 6 3 +2 21
6
Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG
14 6 3 5 +2 21
7
Monarcas Monarcas H
14 5 4 5 -2 19
8
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán A
14 4 6 4 +5 18
9
Venados FC Venados FC
14 5 3 6 -1 18
10
CA La Paz CA La Paz
14 4 5 5 -5 17
11
Tapatío Tapatío
14 4 3 7 +2 15
12
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
14 3 5 6 -13 14
13
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
14 3 4 7 -9 13
14
Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat
14 2 4 8 -19 10
15
Dorados Dorados
14 1 2 11 -18 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record