USL Championship
14/03/2026 • 23:00
LIVE
Live
Toyota Stadium
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Lexington
Rank#9
Played30
Points36
PPG1.2
Goal Diff-11
L
D
L
L
L
Sacramento Republic
2#Rank
30Played
48Points
1.6PPG
17Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.47
0-1
12.8%
7.84
1-0
11.6%
8.63
0-0
11.0%
9.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.25
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lexington
24% · 4.22
Draw
35% · 2.82
Sacramento Republic
41% · 2.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55
Under 35% · 2.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.52
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.