USL Championship
March 14, 2026
Lexington
0–0
FT
Sacramento Republic
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Lexington
Rank#9
Played30
Points36
PPG1.2
Goal Diff-11
L
D
L
L
L
Sacramento Republic
2#Rank
30Played
48Points
1.6PPG
17Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.47
0-1
12.8%
7.84
1-0
11.6%
8.63
0-0
11.0%
9.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.25
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lexington
24% · 4.22
Draw
35% · 2.82
Sacramento Republic
41% · 2.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55
Under 35% · 2.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.52
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lexington
L
D
L
L
L
Sacramento Republic
L
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Lexington
Stat
Sacramento Republic
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#9
League Pos.
#2
36 pts
Points
48 pts
1.2
Points / Game
1.6
-11
Goal Diff.
+17
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
0 W
Lexington
Draw
Sacramento Republic
4
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.