Primeira Liga
14/02/2026 • 18:00
Finished
2 - 1
Elapsed · 90'
HT 0 – 1
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
C. Macedo
Home scorers
  • 64' Thiago Balieiro
  • 68' D. Sousa (J. I. Mendes)
Away scorers
  • 10' P. Moreira (A. Marcus)

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played21
Points28
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-7
L W L L W
Estrela
11#Rank
21Played
23Points
1.1PPG
-12Goal Diff
W D L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.9%
7.78
1-1
11.8%
8.51
2-0
10.4%
9.59
2-1
9.5%
10.48
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.08
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes 54% · 1.85
Draw 25% · 4.03
Estrela 21% · 4.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15 Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.57
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.01 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.