Bundesliga
20/02/2026 • 19:30
Finished
Mewa Arena (Mainz)
R. Braun
Home scorers
- 42' N. Amiri (D. da Costa)
Away scorers
- 64' F. Vieira
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
FSV Mainz 05
Rank#14
Played22
Points21
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-12
L
W
W
W
L
Hamburger SV
9#Rank
21Played
25Points
1.19PPG
-7Goal Diff
W
W
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.94
1-1
12.4%
8.06
2-0
10.4%
9.62
0-0
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.27
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FSV Mainz 05
51% · 1.97
Draw
27% · 3.73
Hamburger SV
22% · 4.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.47
Under 59% · 1.68
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.96
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.