Bundesliga Bundesliga February 20, 2026
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

11
FT
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Friday, February 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
FSV Mainz 05
Rank#14
Played22
Points21
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-12
L W W W L
Hamburger SV
9#Rank
21Played
25Points
1.19PPG
-7Goal Diff
W W D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.94
1-1
12.4%
8.06
2-0
10.4%
9.62
0-0
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FSV Mainz 05 51% · 1.97
Draw 27% · 3.73
Hamburger SV 22% · 4.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.47 Under 59% · 1.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49 Under 33% · 3.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.96 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
L W W W L
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
W W D D D

Key Stats Comparison

FSV Mainz 05
Stat
Hamburger SV
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#14
League Pos.
#9
21 pts
Points
25 pts
0.95
Points / Game
1.19
-12
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 H
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV A
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record