Eredivisie
20/02/2026 • 19:00
Finished
Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)
M. van den Kerkhof
Home scorers
- 45' M. Ihattaren
- 58' K. Sierhuis (L. Duijvestijn)
Away scorers
- 78' N. Naujoks (M. van Duinen)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Fortuna Sittard
Rank#11
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-8
L
D
L
W
L
Excelsior
12#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-14Goal Diff
L
W
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.49
1-0
9.0%
11.06
2-1
9.0%
11.16
0-1
7.8%
12.9
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.76
NO
43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Fortuna Sittard
42% · 2.36
Draw
25% · 4.0
Excelsior
33% · 3.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87
Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.4
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.2
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.