Eredivisie Eredivisie February 20, 2026
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

21
FT
Excelsior

Excelsior

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Friday, February 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Fortuna Sittard
Rank#11
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-8
L D L W L
Excelsior
12#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-14Goal Diff
L W D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.49
1-0
9.0%
11.06
2-1
9.0%
11.16
0-1
7.8%
12.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Fortuna Sittard 42% · 2.36
Draw 25% · 4.0
Excelsior 33% · 3.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87 Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.2 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
L D L W L
Excelsior Excelsior
L W D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Fortuna Sittard
Stat
Excelsior
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#11
League Pos.
#12
26 pts
Points
26 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.13
-8
Goal Diff.
-14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
28 22 2 4 +41 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
28 14 8 6 +22 50
4
Ajax Ajax
28 12 12 4 +18 48
5
Twente Twente
28 12 11 5 +17 47
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
28 12 6 10 +2 42
7
Utrecht Utrecht
28 11 8 9 +11 41
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
10
Groningen Groningen
28 11 5 12 +3 38
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard H
28 10 5 13 -9 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
Telstar Telstar
28 6 9 13 -8 27
15
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior A
28 7 6 15 -18 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record