Championship
28/02/2026 • 12:30
Finished
3 - 1
Elapsed · 90'
HT 0 – 1
Pride Park (Derby)
L. Doughty
Home scorers
  • 55' B. Brereton Diaz (D. Murkin)
  • 74' M. Clarke
  • 82' R. Brewster (D. Murkin)
Away scorers
  • 45' H. Carter (Y. Ribeiro)

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#12
Played34
Points48
PPG1.41
Goal Diff4
L L W L W
Blackburn
20#Rank
34Played
38Points
1.12PPG
-11Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.09
1-1
13.5%
7.43
0-0
12.7%
7.87
0-1
12.1%
8.25
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.43
NO 59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby 39% · 2.57
Draw 30% · 3.32
Blackburn 31% · 3.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.94 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.57
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.49 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.