Championship Championship February 28, 2026
Derby

Derby

31
FT
Blackburn

Blackburn

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#12
Played34
Points48
PPG1.41
Goal Diff4
L L W L W
Blackburn
20#Rank
34Played
38Points
1.12PPG
-11Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.09
1-1
13.5%
7.43
0-0
12.7%
7.87
0-1
12.1%
8.25
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.43
NO 59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby 39% · 2.57
Draw 30% · 3.32
Blackburn 31% · 3.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.94 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.57
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.49 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derby Derby
L L W L W
Blackburn Blackburn
L W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Derby
Stat
Blackburn
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#12
League Pos.
#20
48 pts
Points
38 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.12
+4
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Derby
Draw
Blackburn
20 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Southampton Southampton
40 18 12 10 +19 66
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby H
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn A
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record