Premier League 2 Division One
20/03/2026 • 19:00
Finished
The Proctor Cars Stadium (Matlock, Derbyshire)
G. Thomas
Home scorers
- 57' J. Oguntolu (C. Wilson)
Away scorers
No goals yet.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Derby County U21
Rank#29
Played16
Points11
PPG0.69
Goal Diff-18
W
L
D
D
D
Middlesbrough U21
14#Rank
18Played
24Points
1.33PPG
8Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Middlesbrough U21 4+
13.7%
Derby County U21 4+
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
12.0
1-1
8.1%
12.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
72% · 1.39
NO
28% · 3.54
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Derby County U21
33% · 3.0
Draw
21% · 4.71
Middlesbrough U21
45% · 2.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12
Under 11% · 9.17
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92
Under 48% · 2.09
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.