Premier League 2 Division One Premier League 2 Division One March 20, 2026
Derby County U21

Derby County U21

10
FT
Middlesbrough U21

Middlesbrough U21

We predicted

Middlesbrough U21 4+ 39% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Middlesbrough U21 4+
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Derby County U21
Rank#29
Played16
Points11
PPG0.69
Goal Diff-18
W L D D D
Middlesbrough U21
14#Rank
18Played
24Points
1.33PPG
8Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
Middlesbrough U21 4+
13.7%
Derby County U21 4+
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
12.0
1-1
8.1%
12.32
Both Teams To Score
YES 72% · 1.39
NO 28% · 3.54
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Derby County U21 33% · 3.0
Draw 21% · 4.71
Middlesbrough U21 45% · 2.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12 Under 11% · 9.17
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Derby County U21 Derby County U21
W L D D D
Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Derby County U21
Stat
Middlesbrough U21
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.05
#29
League Pos.
#14
11 pts
Points
24 pts
0.69
Points / Game
1.33
-18
Goal Diff.
+8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21
19 14 1 4 +28 43
2
Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21
18 12 4 2 +18 40
3
Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21
18 12 1 5 +36 37
4
Southampton U21 Southampton U21
19 10 6 3 +8 36
5
Fulham U21 Fulham U21
18 10 5 3 +16 35
6
Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21
20 11 2 7 +13 35
7
Ipswich Town U21 Ipswich Town U21
17 11 1 5 +1 34
8
West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21
19 8 6 5 +10 30
9
Brighton U21 Brighton U21
19 8 5 6 +12 29
10
Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21
19 8 4 7 +5 28
11
Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21
18 8 4 6 +5 28
12
Tottenham Hotspur U21 Tottenham Hotspur U21
17 8 2 7 +6 26
13
Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21
17 7 5 5 -2 26
14
Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 A
19 6 6 7 +7 24
15
Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21
17 7 3 7 +0 24
16
Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21
16 7 3 6 -3 24
17
Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21
19 7 2 10 -2 23
18
Wolves U21 Wolves U21
18 6 4 8 -14 22
19
Everton U21 Everton U21
18 6 3 9 -6 21
20
Reading U21 Reading U21
18 6 3 9 -10 21
21
Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21
19 5 5 9 -7 20
22
Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21
18 5 5 8 -7 20
23
Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21
17 5 4 8 -14 19
24
Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21
18 5 3 10 -10 18
25
West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21
19 5 3 11 -14 18
26
Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21
18 4 4 10 -23 16
27
Derby County U21 Derby County U21 H
17 3 5 9 -17 14
28
Burnley U21 Burnley U21
18 3 3 12 -18 12
29
Blackburn Rovers U21 Blackburn Rovers U21
17 3 2 12 -18 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record