Primera División - Apertura
21/03/2026 • 00:30
Finished
Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)
Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Home scorers
- 44' A. Machado
- 76' B. Montenegro
Away scorers
- 9' L. Boggio
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Defensor Sporting
Rank#2
Played7
Points14
PPG2.0
Goal Diff2
D
W
D
W
L
Club Nacional
1#Rank
7Played
21Points
3.0PPG
10Goal Diff
L
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Club Nacional 4+
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
9.78
1-2
9.5%
10.54
0-1
7.7%
13.04
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.61
NO
38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Defensor Sporting
31% · 3.27
Draw
28% · 3.62
Club Nacional
42% · 2.39
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62
Under 38% · 2.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.78
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54
Under 61% · 1.65
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.