Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura March 21, 2026
Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting

21
FT
Club Nacional

Club Nacional

We predicted

Club Nacional 4+ 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Club Nacional 4+
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Defensor Sporting
Rank#2
Played7
Points14
PPG2.0
Goal Diff2
D W D W L
Club Nacional
1#Rank
7Played
21Points
3.0PPG
10Goal Diff
L W W W W
Most Likely Scores
Club Nacional 4+
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
9.78
1-2
9.5%
10.54
0-1
7.7%
13.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Defensor Sporting 31% · 3.27
Draw 28% · 3.62
Club Nacional 42% · 2.39
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62 Under 38% · 2.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54 Under 61% · 1.65

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
D W D W L
Club Nacional Club Nacional
L W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Defensor Sporting
Stat
Club Nacional
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.86
#2
League Pos.
#1
14 pts
Points
21 pts
2.0
Points / Game
3.0
+2
Goal Diff.
+10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record