Serie D - Girone F
15/03/2026 • 13:30
Finished
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini (Castelfidardo)
Home scorers
- 20' M. Gallo
- 30' M. Gallo
Away scorers
- 12' M. Chiarella
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Castelfidardo Calcio
Rank#18
Played26
Points15
PPG0.58
Goal Diff-29
L
W
L
L
L
Recanatese
14#Rank
26Played
21Points
0.81PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
D
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.51
1-2
8.4%
11.88
2-1
8.4%
11.98
0-1
8.3%
12.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.73
NO
42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Castelfidardo Calcio
40% · 2.48
Draw
33% · 3.03
Recanatese
27% · 3.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84
Under 46% · 2.18
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29
Under 22% · 4.49
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.14
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.