Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone F March 15, 2026
Castelfidardo Calcio

Castelfidardo Calcio

21
FT
Recanatese

Recanatese

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Castelfidardo Calcio
Rank#18
Played26
Points15
PPG0.58
Goal Diff-29
L W L L L
Recanatese
14#Rank
26Played
21Points
0.81PPG
-20Goal Diff
L D L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.51
1-2
8.4%
11.88
2-1
8.4%
11.98
0-1
8.3%
12.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.73
NO 42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Castelfidardo Calcio 40% · 2.48
Draw 33% · 3.03
Recanatese 27% · 3.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84 Under 46% · 2.18
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29 Under 22% · 4.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.14 Under 68% · 1.47

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo Calcio
L W L L L
Recanatese Recanatese
L D L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Castelfidardo Calcio
Stat
Recanatese
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#18
League Pos.
#14
15 pts
Points
21 pts
0.58
Points / Game
0.81
-29
Goal Diff.
-20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record