Eredivisie
22/02/2026 • 15:45
Finished
AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)
A. Lindhout
Home scorers
- 65' S. Mijnans (M. Chavez Garcia)
- 83' K. Smit
- 90' T. Parrott (J. Zoet)
Away scorers
- 87' M. Zonneveld (C. Terho)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff2
W
D
L
W
D
Sparta Rotterdam
5#Rank
23Played
37Points
1.61PPG
-7Goal Diff
D
D
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.76
2-1
9.4%
10.66
1-0
9.2%
10.91
AZ Alkmaar 4+
8.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.74
NO
43% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
47% · 2.14
Draw
24% · 4.11
Sparta Rotterdam
29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82
Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.61
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.06
Under 67% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.