Eredivisie Eredivisie February 22, 2026
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

31
FT
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff2
W D L W D
Sparta Rotterdam
5#Rank
23Played
37Points
1.61PPG
-7Goal Diff
D D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.76
2-1
9.4%
10.66
1-0
9.2%
10.91
AZ Alkmaar 4+
8.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.74
NO 43% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar 47% · 2.14
Draw 24% · 4.11
Sparta Rotterdam 29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82 Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.61
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.06 Under 67% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
W D L W D
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
D D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Sparta Rotterdam
1.64
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.24
#6
League Pos.
#5
36 pts
Points
37 pts
1.57
Points / Game
1.61
+2
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
28 22 2 4 +41 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
28 14 8 6 +22 50
4
Ajax Ajax
28 12 12 4 +18 48
5
Twente Twente
28 12 11 5 +17 47
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar H
28 12 6 10 +2 42
7
Utrecht Utrecht
28 11 8 9 +11 41
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam A
28 12 5 11 -12 41
10
Groningen Groningen
28 11 5 12 +3 38
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
28 10 5 13 -9 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
Telstar Telstar
28 6 9 13 -8 27
15
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
28 7 6 15 -18 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record