Premier League
21/02/2026 • 15:00
Finished
Villa Park (Birmingham)
M. Oliver
Home scorers
- 88' T. Abraham
Away scorers
- 31' A. Stach
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#3
Played26
Points50
PPG1.92
Goal Diff10
W
D
L
W
L
Leeds
15#Rank
26Played
30Points
1.15PPG
-9Goal Diff
D
W
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.54
1-0
10.7%
9.36
2-1
9.6%
10.47
2-0
8.7%
11.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.87
NO
46% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aston Villa
50% · 2.01
Draw
25% · 4.05
Leeds
26% · 3.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.05
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.44
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.