Premier League
February 21, 2026
Aston Villa
1–1
FT
Leeds
We predicted
1-1
28% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#3
Played26
Points50
PPG1.92
Goal Diff10
W
D
L
W
L
Leeds
15#Rank
26Played
30Points
1.15PPG
-9Goal Diff
D
W
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.54
1-0
10.7%
9.36
2-1
9.6%
10.47
2-0
8.7%
11.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.87
NO
46% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aston Villa
50% · 2.01
Draw
25% · 4.05
Leeds
26% · 3.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.05
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.44
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Aston Villa
W
D
L
W
L
Leeds
D
W
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Aston Villa
Stat
Leeds
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#3
League Pos.
#15
50 pts
Points
30 pts
1.92
Points / Game
1.15
+10
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Aston Villa
Draw
Leeds
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
H
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
A
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.