Primeira Liga
22/03/2026 • 18:00
Finished
FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)
J. Pinheiro
Home scorers
- 83' Marezi (I. James)
Away scorers
- 22' P. Goncalves
- 50' L. Suarez (H. Morita)
- 68' G. Catamo (M. Hjulmand)
- 86' P. Goncalves
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Alverca
Rank#10
Played25
Points28
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-15
D
D
D
D
L
Sporting CP
2#Rank
25Played
62Points
2.48PPG
50Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.1%
6.21
0-2
14.0%
7.12
1-1
10.3%
9.7
Sporting CP 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.56
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alverca
8% · 12.61
Draw
34% · 2.97
Sporting CP
58% · 1.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.35
Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.2
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.62
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.