Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 22, 2026
Alverca

Alverca

14
FT
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

We predicted

0-1 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 1–4

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Alverca
Rank#10
Played25
Points28
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-15
D D D D L
Sporting CP
2#Rank
25Played
62Points
2.48PPG
50Goal Diff
D W W W D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.1%
6.21
0-2
14.0%
7.12
1-1
10.3%
9.7
Sporting CP 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.56
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alverca 8% · 12.61
Draw 34% · 2.97
Sporting CP 58% · 1.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.35 Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.2
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.62 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alverca Alverca
D D D D L
Sporting CP Sporting CP
D W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Alverca
Stat
Sporting CP
0.64
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.74
#10
League Pos.
#2
28 pts
Points
62 pts
1.12
Points / Game
2.48
-15
Goal Diff.
+50

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP A
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca H
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record