Primera División
10/03/2026 • 01:30
Finished
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)
Joel Alarcon, Peru
Home scorers
- 30' Paolo Guerrero
- 66' J. Velez (A. Cantero)
- 84' R. Garces (J. Velez)
Away scorers
- 44' J. Vidales
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Alianza Lima
Rank#4
Played17
Points31
PPG1.82
Goal Diff11
L
D
W
W
D
FBC Melgar
7#Rank
17Played
25Points
1.47PPG
7Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Alianza Lima 4+
23.3%
2-1
9.4%
10.62
2-0
8.2%
12.27
3-1
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.59
NO
37% · 2.7
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alianza Lima
58% · 1.72
Draw
29% · 3.5
FBC Melgar
13% · 7.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.42
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14
Under 12% · 8.38
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.02
Under 50% · 1.98
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.