Primera División Primera División March 10, 2026
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

31
FT
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

We predicted

Alianza Lima 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 10 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Alianza Lima 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Alianza Lima
Rank#4
Played17
Points31
PPG1.82
Goal Diff11
L D W W D
FBC Melgar
7#Rank
17Played
25Points
1.47PPG
7Goal Diff
D W L W D
Most Likely Scores
Alianza Lima 4+
23.3%
2-1
9.4%
10.62
2-0
8.2%
12.27
3-1
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES 63% · 1.59
NO 37% · 2.7
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alianza Lima 58% · 1.72
Draw 29% · 3.5
FBC Melgar 13% · 7.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.42
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14 Under 12% · 8.38
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.02 Under 50% · 1.98

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
L D W W D
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
D W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Alianza Lima
Stat
FBC Melgar
2.53
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#4
League Pos.
#7
31 pts
Points
25 pts
1.82
Points / Game
1.47
+11
Goal Diff.
+7

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record