Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 14, 2026
Zamudio
2–2
FT
San Ignacio
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Zamudio
Rank#14
Played25
Points25
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-13
L
L
L
W
L
San Ignacio
6#Rank
25Played
41Points
1.64PPG
8Goal Diff
W
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.78
1-0
12.0%
8.3
0-1
9.5%
10.5
0-0
8.9%
11.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.06
NO
51% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Zamudio
30% · 3.34
Draw
34% · 2.91
San Ignacio
36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.3
Under 57% · 1.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44
Under 30% · 3.28
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.46
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Zamudio
L
L
L
W
L
San Ignacio
W
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Zamudio
Stat
San Ignacio
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#14
League Pos.
#6
25 pts
Points
41 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.64
-13
Goal Diff.
+8
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Zamudio
Draw
San Ignacio
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | +39 | 63 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 44 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +13 | 43 |
| 5 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
San Ignacio
A
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 7 |
Derio
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Durango
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 11 |
Real Sociedad III
|
25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | -6 | 33 |
| 12 |
Eibar III
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 |
Santurtzi
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
H
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 16 |
Pasaia KE
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.